Comprehensive Assessment and Scenarios
“Provide new perspectives for integrated science-based decision support”
Lead Partner: Finnish Environment Institute, Finland, www.ymparisto.fi
WP leader: Sirkka Tattari, sirkka.tattari(at)ymparisto.fi
Partners:
- Finnish Environment Institute (Finland)
- Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (Sweden)
- Tallinn University of Technology (Estonia)
- Århus University (Denmark)
- Central Research Institute for Complex Use of Water Resources (Belarus)
- State Agency for Agriculture, Environment and Rural Areas in Schleswig-Holstein (Germany)
- MTT - Agrifood Research Finland (Finland)
- Insitute of Meteorology and Water Management in Warsaw (Poland)
- Institute of Technology and Natural Sciences in Falenty (Poland)
- Lithuanian Institute of Agrarian Economics (Lithuania)
Objective:
To provide new perspectives for integrated science-based decision-support through optimized agricultural run-off assessments in a spatial planning context.
Tasks:
- Benchmarking the present agricultural runoff assessment methods across the BSR to improve comparability
- Demonstration and adaptation to variances in identification of agricultural nutrient run-off risk areas for geographic prioritization and selection of the most appropriate countermeasures
- Assessment of the cost-efficiency of selected best management practices in small catchments
- Establishing connection with water protection and biosecurity considerations to provide additional impetus for measures, investments and integration of policies
- Creation of comprehensive decision-making support scenarios on the interlinkages of environmental, agricultural production, socioeconomic, veterinary health and sanitary variables and measures;
Target groups:
National water management authorities, national ministries, responsible institutes, HELCOM, European Environment Agency
Main outputs of WP 5:
- Guidebook of most optimal agricultural nutrient runoff assessment methods - SWOT analysis and recommendations. Encouraging harmonization of assessment across the Baltic Sea region.
- Decision support scenarios integrating foreseeable changes in agriculture to be discussed at various regional and national stakeholder workshops.
- Report on climate change and agricultural production in the BSR illustrating scenario until 2025.
- Problem specific database of assessment tools. Agricultural nutrient runoff assessment tools, responsive to a single management measure, optimized for each problem issue.
- Database on land use and high risk agricultural land in the Baltic Sea Region. The database will serve water management, agricultural and rural development authorities.
- Information and presentation material including simulated environmental effects to illustrate the effect of selected BAT.
- A series of regional training events on nutrient load assessment methods for responsible national institutes.

